Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Useful and obviously the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if it is precisely what your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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